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You Say You Want a Revolution?

BY Cliff KuangMon Jul 13, 2009 at 12:47 PM
Scientists create an artificial "swarm" to learn how a small band of revolutionaries can overthrow established leaders.

Flock of Birds

A small band of revolutionaries can topple a government; small companies can displace the market leader. The question is, how? For all of the chin scratching among management theorists, no one has ever come up with a definitive reason, or strategy.

But Hai-Tao Zhang, a physicist at the University of Cambridge, and a team of collaborators has come up with some intriguing answers. Their insight came after they discarded the infinite variables of real-life human organizations, and instead looked towards the social structure of birds.

Just like humans, flocking birds, when finding food sources, follow the leadership group that has the most members. But somehow, a small band of like minded birds can sway the entire flock. Zhang created a computer-based "swarm" to discern just what was going on. He set the program so that individuals would always follow the average movement of those around them. In the presence of a small band of leaders moving all in the same direction, the swarm usually follows. But a small group of power-seekers can overthrow the swarm's behavior if they can secure steadfast allegiance--and if their own membership is scattered, so as to better distribute their influence. Thus, gaining power is about finding the right spread in your support base, rather than creating a rock-solid peak to the pyramid.

As the Technology Review points out, the lessons gleaned by Zhang actually have a neat parallel in the way Internet-based grass-roots campaigns work. The Obama campaign, for example, leaned on a diffuse network of fervent supporters to market their candidate locally. In other words, mass movements don't start at one superheated hotspot and then move outwards--rather, they start in diffuse powercenters, which then sway what's around them. Which is perhaps what we've always known about popular support of political parties. But what's really interesting is that this might translate into a broader empirical law, with applications from marketing to management.

distribution patterns of leaders

[Via Technology Review; image by Picture Perfect Pose]

Topics:

Leadership, Power Plays, succession, Swarming, Followship, Revolutions, Hai-Tao Zhang, cambridge, Design, Innovation, Technology, Hai-Tao Zhang, University of Cambridge, Barack Obama


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Recent Comments | 2 Total

July 13, 2009 at 7:47pm by Alice Korngold

Which would reinforce the imperative of having leadership and support from diverse communities in order to achieve anything significant, rather than old-school-homogeneous leadership and bases of support.

July 15, 2009 at 6:00pm by Pat Sloan

Exactly right. Barack Obama’s Presidential campaign rode to victory on this shift from old school homogenous leadership to community based support. In fact, recognition of the influence of communities is driving change everywhere from media, to education, marketing and beyond. In The Nature of Marketing: Marketing to the Swarm as well as the Herd” (published just days after the election) the premise is that technology has made it possible for human communities to act like swarms or schools of fish. No longer is there a single leader. The community moves in unison and in digitally linked communities, one member’s voice can quickly be transformed into the voice of a hundred, a thousand or a million. All of which represents huge opportunities and challenges for communications of any stripe.

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Pat Sloan